Offshore Source
Changing Seas: Gulf of Mexico Decommissioning Charts New Waters in 2012
New tools and approaches are set to benefit the Gulf of Mexico decommissioning market in 2012, reflecting the confidence of some of the market. But uncertainty remains over the true impact of the Idle Iron Notice To Lessees (NTL) in the years ahead.
The Idle Iron NTL, issued in October 2010, was expected to be a watershed in the Gulf of Mexico (GOM). It would prompt an expansion in the decommissioning market, driven by a government requirement to remove idle wells and structures. These predictions appear well founded.
At least 150 structures have been decommissioned in the past 12 months according to the preliminary findings of Decomworld's 2012-13 GOM report. With further structures yet to be included in the data released by the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement's (BSEE) in November 2011, predictions for 2012 and beyond should be positive.
The forecast for next year is mixed, with interviewees quoted in the forthcoming Decomworld report demonstrating a significant divergence of opinion. But expectations remain high – notably among contractors – that decommissioning levels will reach or exceed 150 platforms in 2012 and beyond.
Innovation
Market uncertainty has spurred companies to introduce new technology and improve the efficiency of decommissioning processes. Both operators and contractors, interviewed in the 2012-13 Decomworld report, are tackling cost efficiencies of decommissioning directly: through technology and strategy innovation as well as operators offering their own decommissioning services.
Niche service providers are developing new hardware to cut up and remove damaged and idle platforms. One contractor is marketing a specialised pin drilling system and a new vertical caisson cutting tool. Another is constructing up to eight rigless pulling and jacking units for tubulars.
Operators are innovating too. One operator interviewed within the report, has contracted a liftboat specially designed and fitted out to perform decommissioning in a single mobilization. The liftboat owner modified the vessel to target the growing decommissioning market in the GoM <300' water depth market. This vessel is fully equipped to remove their decommissioning liabilities and is due for deployment in 2012.
On the contracting front, strategies are also changing. Providers are continuing the shift from turnkey operations to day-rate work, citing higher efficiency levels. This entails more detailed planning for offshore operations, according to one of our respondents.
Idle Iron ripples
Regulatory compliance will undoubtedly continue to be a major factor in operators' decommissioning strategies but financial resources are of crucial importance too. "The reality is, companies can only do what they can afford to do both in terms of resource limitations and finance," one operator said. While both Chevron and Apache have talked of a significant rise in their decommissioning spend, this might not apply to smaller players, our research suggests.
The question arises of whether the government can force operators to comply with the Idle Iron NTL if doing so would be beyond their budgetary capability. On the other hand, some operators have cited difficulties in obtaining regulatory permits for work that might forestall decommissioning plans.
Overall, the market looks well underpinned for 2012 but the degree of uncertainty has left some contractors reluctant to commit extra investment in personnel and equipment.
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Deep Down Announces Multiple Awards
Deep Down, Inc. (OTCQB: DPDW), an oilfield services company specializing in complex deepwater and ultra-deepwater oil production distribution system support services, today announced it has been awarded multiple contracts for subsea hardware and deployment equipment orders worth in excess of $2.6 million. Two orders were placed by a major controls OEM and the third order placed by an international installation contractor.
Deep Down, Inc. will be manufacturing Umbilical Termination Assemblies (UTA), Flying Leads, Umbilical Termination Heads (UTH), Rapid Deployment Cartridges, Moray® and Flying Lead Deployment Frames; the majority of the work is scheduled to be completed in the first quarter 2012, with the remainder completed in the beginning of the second quarter 2012. The products and equipment will be used on three international projects in the Far East and Mediterranean and one project in the Gulf of Mexico.
The patent-pending Moray® Termination System contains a light-weight and compact termination head and very flexible steel tube bundle allowing for easy make up of the heads by the ROV on the ocean floor.
Ron Smith, Chief Executive Officer stated, "These awards continue to build upon Deep Down's expansion into the international oil and gas market. Deep Down continues to gain recognition outside of the Gulf of Mexico as a solution provider. By working with our customers, we are able to provide them with innovative cost effective solutions for their offshore projects."
About Deep Down, Inc.
This release contains forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are information of a non-historical nature and are subject to risks and uncertainties that are beyond the Company's ability to control. The Company cautions shareholders and prospective investors that actual results may differ materially from those indicated by the forward-looking statements. More information about the risks and uncertainties relating to the company’s forward-looking statements is found in the company’s SEC filings.
Niche Products Launch Pelagic CLEO: Super High Temperature Subsea Control Fluid
Niche Products are proud to announce the launch of Pelagic CLEO, a super high temperature
subsea control fluid, breaking new barriers for high temperature use in subsea production wells.
Pelagic CLEO was carefully developed to bridge the technology gap between water based fluids and the extreme high temperature and high pressure developments of the future. This new fluid is unique, as it offers excellent stability at high temperatures and is capable of maintaining temperatures in excess of 250°C for a project lifetime.
In addition, with the potential future requirements for closed loop systems in some sectors, this environmental oil is acceptable for direct discharge to sea. What’s more, it is designed to offer all the technical properties of traditional oil based fluids in closed loop systems.
This is an extraordinary breakthrough for the industry and offers a positive and very real assistance in the quest to access new oil reserves and to produce oil at hotter and hotter temperatures.
Niche Products Technical Director Tom McKechnie said: “Pelagic CLEO is an absolutely extraordinary product, which combines high temperature capability and environmental acceptability. This product will assist the production of oil in subsea control systems at temperatures never seen before, all while causing minimal environmental impact”.
Niche Products, having recently celebrated its 10th anniversary, has been involved in the subsea hydraulics fluid market since 2001, when it first launched its pioneering Pelagic range of environmentally superior subsea control fluids. As worldwide environmental regulations have become tighter over the past decade, the Pelagic product range remains the obvious choice for both drilling and production companies looking for environmentally superior technology with no compromise on technical performance.
Royal Dutch Shell Sets Out New Growth Agenda
Shell today updated shareholders on progress against its strategic plan to generate profitable growth. In today’s volatile economic environment, the company’s strategic aim remains to drive forward with its investment programme, to deliver sustainable growth and provide competitive returns to shareholders.
Key highlights:
Global economy and energy markets likely to see continued high volatility. Shell remains focused on through-cycle investment for sustainable growth.
Delivery of underlying strategic drivers for 2012 targets established, underpinned by 14 project start-ups 2009-11, and Shell’s continuous improvement programmes.
Shell declared ~$10.5 billion of dividends in 2011 and expects to grow the dividend in 2012, reflecting an improving financial position.
Net capital investment in 2012 of $30 billion – 80% in Upstream - as Shell invests for a new tranche of growth.
Measured increase in spending and payout underpinned by a new outlook for cashflow from operations for the period 2012-15 some 30-50% higher than the 2008-11 total.
Growth outlook driven by over 60 new projects and options, maturing ~20 billion boe of new resources potential, including major projects in liquefied natural gas (LNG), deep water, tight gas, liquids-rich shales and traditional plays.
Economic development in non-OECD countries is driving sustained and long term demand growth for all forms of energy. Regulatory and political uncertainties, combined with challenges in debt markets, are adding to price and cost volatility in this long term trend. Shell is investing for sustainable growth through what is likely to remain a highly volatile period in the economy and energy markets. The company’s activities provide affordable, safe and reliable energy supplies for our customers, world-wide.
Delivering on targets to 2012
Shell’s three-year strategic plan, first outlined in early 2010, was designed to build the foundations for profitable growth for shareholders, by improving near-term competitive performance, and delivering growth to 2012. The main strategic drivers of this plan have now been achieved:
Performance focus. A substantial corporate reorganization, launched in 2009, simplified the company, reduced costs, and created a platform for faster delivery of our strategy. In addition, we are driving the Downstream portfolio to improve returns and growth potential.
Cashflow from operations excluding working capital movements was $43 billion in 2011 – reaching the headline target we had set for 2012 - rebalancing the company to surplus cashflow.
Continuous improvement and capital efficiency are embedded in Shell. Disposals of $17 billion from 2009-11, and $15 billion of acquisitions are repositioning the company for new growth.
Growth delivery. Shell has started up 14 new projects in 2009-11 – including the world class Pearl gas-to-liquids project in Qatar.
Shell’s oil and gas resources base on stream has increased by 33%, or 3 billion boe, to 12 billion boe between 2009 and 2011. Maintaining a strong project flow, the company is maturing a further 20 billion boe of new resources for future growth.
Our headline proved Reserves Replacement Ratio for the year on an SEC basis is expected to be around 100%. Our Organic Reserves Replacement Ratio, which excludes the impact of oil price movements in the year, acquisitions and divestments, is expected to be around 120%.
Shell’s CEO Peter Voser commented: “Shell’s strategy is innovative and competitive. Our improving financial position creates an opportunity to increase both our dividends and investment levels. With ramp up now well in hand for near-term growth, I want to move our agenda forward today, with new targets for the company.”
“We are delivering our growth plans. Today’s update sets a new and sustainable growth agenda for the company. We declared over $10 billion of dividends in 2011 and we are expecting to return to dividend growth for 2012. This reflects our confidence that there is more to come from Shell. ”
Setting out new priorities
Voser commented: “We have worked hard to generate a strong pipeline of investment opportunities for Shell, and we put the emphasis firmly on a competitive financial performance. Shell’s investment programmes create cashflow growth, which in turn funds our dividends. All of this is supported by efficiency gains from our continuous improvement programmes, where the opportunity set runs to billions of dollars for Shell.”
Net capital investment will be some $30 billion in 2012, with over ~80% Upstream, of which 60% will be in North America and Australia. We continue to mature further development opportunities, with Final Investment Decision on 17 new projects in 2010-11. In 2011, the company has built new positions including Iraq gas, Asia Pacific LNG, liquids-rich shales, and new exploration acreage in 10 countries. This portfolio growth supports our increased investment program and updated growth outlook.
Our cashflow from operations for 2008-11 was $136 billion, excluding working capital movements. Cashflow from operations should be some 30-50% higher for 2012-15 (A) .
Capital efficiency is a key part of Shell’s strategy. Divestments are expected to be $2-3 billion in 2012, with $17 billion of asset sales completed in 2009-11.
In Upstream, the company expects some 250,000 boe/d of asset sales and licence expiries over the 2012-17 timeframe. Assuming these impacts play out, oil & gas production should average some 4 million boe/d in 2017-18, an increase of some 25% from 2011 levels of 3.2 million boe/d.
(A) Outlook assumes $80-100 Brent, improved North America gas and Downstream environment from 2011, and excludes working capital movments.
Growth investment
The key investment themes that underpin this profitable growth include over 60 new projects and options, which should unlock oil & gas resources potential of over 20 billion boe.
Exploration. We continue to balance exploration drilling in established basins, with selective expansion into frontier acreage, and new plays such as liquids-rich shales. Our exploration spending increased by some 30% to $3.6 billion in 2011, excluding acreage purchases, and should increase a further 35% in 2012 to some $5 billion.
Traditional developments in Shell’s heartlands will see $6 billion of 2012 investment. This includes extending the life of Shell’s mature heartland positions such as the UK North Sea and South East Asia. Around $3 billion of investment in this category will be in countries with large undeveloped resources positions - Nigeria, Kazakhstan and Iraq.
Integrated gas. Shell has ~8 mtpa of LNG capacity under construction – all in Australia – an increase of ~40% over today’s position, with at least $5 billion of capital investment planned for 2012. In addition, Shell has some 15 mtpa of new LNG capacity under study.
Deep water oil and gas spending in 2012 of some $4 billion, with 250,000 boe/d under construction, in 7 projects spanning the Gulf of Mexico, Brazil and Malaysia.
Tight gas and liquids-rich shales. Shell continues to build a world-wide portfolio in these new plays, with 50,000 square kilometers in total, including an increase of 12,000 square kilometers in 2011 in liquids-rich plays. We allocate capital to these plays on a short term basis with a high degree of flexibility, driven by economics and affordability. Some $4 billion of world-wide development investment is planned for 2012, focusing on production from the lowest cost gas positions, and growing our liquids production. Production from liquids-rich shales has the potential to reach some 250,000 boe/d in 2017.
In heavy oil world-wide, we are planning for $2 billion of 2012 spending, covering EOR, mining and upgrading activities. In Canada, Shell is investing in a series of debottlenecking projects in oil sands mining, which will add ~50,000 b/d by 2020. We expect to take final investment decision on a 1.1 mtpa carbon capture and storage project – Quest – in 2012.
We continue to focus on operational excellence and selective growth in Downstream, with $6 billion investment planned for 2012. Commissioning is underway at the 325,000 b/d Port Arthur refinery expansion project, creating one of the largest refineries in the United States, at some 600,000 b/d. Shell is also looking at new manufacturing capacity options in North America, in Qatar and in China, as well as selective growth in marketing activities, and continued momentum in Brazil biofuels.
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